Parker Picks NFL Week 2

Week 2 Picks

Week 1 started off decent with 13-11 combined, but 6-7 on the plays I really liked could be better. Lets see what we can find in week 2.

Houston Texans +3.5 at Carolina Panthers 39

I am looking to the Texans here mainly as a fade of the Panthers. Brian Hoyer started the game off with an ugly interception and before you know it the team is down 14-0. Bill O’Brien coached his team out of that game, but I like BOB and trust his team to bounce back with a surprising road win. As for the total, I do look under but think 39 is too low for my taste.

Houston +3.5, Lean Under 39

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10 at New Orleans Saints 47

The Saints expect CJ Spiller, and back at home to bounce back from a loss you have to like the Saints here. The Bucs defense wasn’t even trying to tackle in Week 1, and Winston is going to have ups and downs, mainly downs as in on the ground because of his offensive line. New Orleans doesn’t have a great defense, but the Saints should be able to get an early lead and control the clock with Mark Ingram. I would be looking for the Saints here, and would lean to the under due to New Orleans desire to run, but no under is safe with Tampas’ defense.

New Orleans -10, Lean Under 47

San Francisco 49ers +6 at Pittsburgh Steelers 45

The Steelers finished their first game around 1AM Eastern on Friday, approximately 73 hours later; the 49ers finished their week 1 game. The 49ers now fly across the country to a team coming off of a loss and now playing in their home opener. Nothing bodes well for San Fran and I like the Steelers to put up some points and win by at least a touch down.

Steelers -6, Lean Over 45

Detroit Lions +2.5 at Minnesota Vikings 44

I don’t know which team looked worse in week 1. The Lions may potentially be without Haloti Ngata and Deandre Levy, which leaves them with extremely little on defense, and when compared to a road trip into a disgruntled San Francisco defense, this Lions defense at home should be a lot easier. The Vikings should know this teams concepts, should be more prepared than their week 1 embarrassment, and the Lions have less talent than before. I see the Vikings taking one back, and while I wouldn’t play the total I would lean over on a potential late TD.

Vikings -2.5, Lean Over 44

New England Patriots -1 at Buffalo Bills 45

This Buffalo defense is for real. The offense still has some mystery, and Sammy Watkins was caged up in week 1. I think he is unleashed this week the Bills, who ranked #1 against the tight end in 2014, now have Rex Ryan, who was born to scheme against Bill Billichick. All signs point to a great game and I would be looking at the Bills surprising to go 2-0, and if you can find this at 1.5 this is a great leg for a teaser to take Buffalo.

Buffalo Bills +1, (tease Buffalo 7.5), Under 45

Arizona Cardinals -1 at Chicago Bears 46.5

Both offenses really looked good in week 1. I am not sure what exactly we can take away from either game yet and I view this as a game to learn from. The Cardinals did give up 20 to New Orleans at home and on the road I would expect Chicago is going to look to start off hot like they did against Green Bay. In all I would be looking for points to be scored and would be looking over here, and as for the side I lean to Chicago bouncing back, but Carson Palmer and Bruce Arians have something together that is tough to bet against.

Over 46.5, Lean Bears +1

Tennessee Titans -1.5 at Cleveland Browns 41

I am tempted to take the Browns off of sheer line value alone. They don’t necessarily have a QB yet, but Tennessee is climbing the perception mountain just a little too fast. The opener of Cleveland -4 looks high now yes, but I don’t think it was too high. I think Cleveland still has a decent chance to take this game, and if they can run the ball and control the clock, Mariota will play from behind for the first time in his career. The Bucs presented no challenge, and while Cleveland isn’t much better, back to back road wins is too impressive and I am going with Cleveland here.

Browns +1.5, Lean Under 41

San Diageo Chargers +3.5 at Cincinnati Bengals 47.5

One thing I have learned is that the Bengals are the team that will make you think they are world beaters against the peons of the league, but will shrivel against the elite. I am not calling SD elite yet, but I really liked what I saw out of them. The offense was clicking and was really two flukes away from a 20 point win against the Lions. I would be looking for Dalton to take a step back against a much better secondary than he saw the week before and would be looking for the Chargers to control the clock and potentially survive what should be a great game in the early season

Chargers +3.5, Under 47.5

St. Louis Rams -3.5 At Washington 41

I would love to be the game calling this trap from a mile away but I cannot do it. Miami defensive line didn’t look strong against Washington and that is how you build the case for them, but St. Louis is a better defensive line, and Aaron Donald may on Suhs’ level already. They should get after the QB, and Foles adding a deep ball every once in a while should keep Washington on its heels. I would be looking over and looking to the Rams here.

Rams -3.5, Over 41

Atlanta Falcons +2.5 at New York Giants 51.5

Everyone is going to look at how bad the Giants looked and combine it with how good ATL looked and run to the window to bet ATL. That is why this game screams no play for me. The line is way too fishy and I think the Giants are in early must win mode for their home opener. I would however be looking to the under here. The Falcons defense is much improved with their new defensive minded coach, and the Giants offense looked confused in week 1. They also have no true play makers aside from Odell Beckham, and if they continue to let Andre Williams get snaps, they will continue to need defensive touch downs to keep them in games.

Under 51.5, Lean Falcons +2.5

Baltimore Ravens -6 at Oakland Raiders 43

With Derek Carr playing less than one half this is a complete no play for me. I am not sure what to expect off of a hand injury, and don’t know what the bad Ravens play makers can do against the bad Raiders defense. For the sake of helping you out I would look Ravens and Under in a 28-7 type win, but again too much risk.

Lean Ravens -6, Under 43

Miami Dolphins -5.5 at Jacksonville Jaguars 41

I feel like I am making a lot of square picks, but this one seems warranted. The Dolphins didn’t get off to the start they wanted, but they got the W. They still are out for respect and to string off two straight road wins. All tough tasks, but the Dolphins should at least survive and get the win. This isn’t a bad place to tease the Bills with, but I would look to the Dolphins to win ATS and the under to be in play as Jacksonville may struggle to score on anyone.

Miami -5.5, Under 41

Dallas Cowboys +5.5 at Philadelphia Eagles 55

This game screams under. The Cowboys without Dez Bryant are a completely different offense. The Eagles defense came alive in the second half, and has an underrated defensive line to match up with the Cowboys offensive line. The Cowboys should look to run the ball, control the clock and survive this game. I don’t think they have enough to outscore Philadelphia, and I don’t think Philadelphia has enough time on the field to score 30. I would be looking at the Eagles and the Under in this one.

Eagles -5.5, under 55