Parkers Picks Week 10

Parkers Picks Week 10

Another nice week last week leads at into week 10 at .500. Lets if we can get hot down the stretch.

Detroit Lions +11.5 At Green Bay Packers 48.5

This is going to be a no play. The spot says the Packers should bounce back from two tough losses at home against a weak Detroit team. In Detroits’ defense you would assume that of any week when you want to play your best it is the week after the owner is just walking around firing people. This rivalry has been lopsided towards the Packers, but most of the finals have not been in blow out fashion. The Lions will give their all, but it is clearly not enough and if you flip a coin it will tell you the Packers win by 11 in a lower scoring game than expected.

Lions +11.5, Under 48.5

Dallas Cowboys +1 At Tampa Bay Buccaneers 43.5

This one appears to be another toss up. The matchup to watch will be the Cowboys offensive line, against the defensive front anchored by Gerald McCoy. Jameis Winston hasn’t turned the ball over since week 4, and I give him credit as Matt Cassell has been wildly erratic for the boys. It gives them less chance to pick apart a weak Tampa pass D, and it gives the Bucs an advantage at home. It is tough, but I would go Bucs and over as Mike Evans should not have six key drops this week, and the Bucs pass game should be able to open things up late.

Bucs -1, Over 43.5

Carolina Panthers -5 at Tennessee Titans 44

The key to this one is that Cam Newton and company are one of the best teams in the league at the run, and Tennessee is susceptible to giving up the run. Everything tells you,. After two straight prime time games, and a home win against the Packers a road trip to Tennessee is a let down spot. No doubt, but Tennessee coming off a statement win followed up their last win with a loss to Johnny Manziel and the Browns. I would say Panthers get a seven point win, and would be going over here. Mariotta is going to throw a lot, and it will either result in INTs (points), or more points.

Carolina -5, Over 44

Chicago Bears +7 at St. Louis Rams 42.5

This is a good spot for the Rams. That Vikings game was a hard fought, and the hope is that Robert Quinn will be back from a week off. The Bears coming off of a road win get some buzz, but a win in San Diego is more of a neutral site game. I would lay the lumber and expect Todd Gurley to have about 20 second half carries, as well as look at the under as the Rams seem to be able to get 17 points, hold teams under ten and ice out games.

Rams -7, Under 42.5

New Orleans Saints -1 at Washington 50

Lets just say I am starting Kirk Cousins in fantasy this week. Probably going to blow up in my face but Cousins is prime for a big game. The Saints are going from the turf to the grass and that is never a time to go with the Saints. Pierre Garcon, Desean Jacons, Jamison Crowder, and Jordan Reed will be on the filed together for the first time all season, and it just seems as though Washington should get this one.

Washington +1, Over 50

Miami Dolphins +6 at Philadelphia Eagles 49

The Eagles come off a six-point road win, but they really didn’t deserve it. They just never get going when you expect them to, and I don’t think that is going to change this week. Jarvis Landry should have a good game and this has potential to go over. I would look that way, and hope to see a seven, but will take the Dolphins and the points here.

Dolphins +6, Over 49

Cleveland Browns +5.5 at Pittsburgh Steelers 41.5

Landry Jones does not have to do much to get the ball in the hands of Antonio Brown and Martavis Bryant. Without Joe Haden the Browns defense should be easy to score on, and if the Steelers get the lead, they can salt away a rivalry that has gone the Steelers way in 26 of the last 30 meetings.

Steelers -5.5, Over 41.5

Jacksonville Jaguars +5.5 at Baltimore Ravens 47.5

John Harabaugh is 6-1 off the bye and it has a lot of people looking for the Ravens to bounce back in this spot. There have been about three or four instances in where past trends say that the Ravens should step up and they just have not this year. The Jags have a lot of playmakers, and this has a back and forth feel to it with some Flacco deep balls involved.

Jags +5.5, Over 47.5

Minnesota Vikings +3 at Oakland Raiders 44

It seems as though no one wants to admit that the Vikings have a strong run defense. They should be able to put that to use in what is one of the more anticipated games of the week. Teddy Bridgewater should be a go, and Adrian Peterson should put the running game, and the clock in control of the Vikings. The Vikings seem to continue to defy expectations and I would look for them to get ahead early in this one and do it again with a big on in Oakland.

Vikings +3, Over 44

Kansas City Chiefs +5.5 at Denver Broncos 41.5

This would have been a good spot for Kansas City if you were getting seven points. Nonetheless, Andy Reid is 11-5 off of a bye and that is nothing to mess with. The Broncos looked flat last week, and at this point may be more interested in their week 12 home games against the Patriots. I think the Broncos get by but in a close one, and I would go toward the under, although 41.5 is a tough one.

Chiefs +5.5, Under 41.5

New England Patriots -7 at New York Giants 54.5

The addition to Jason Pierre Paul could be the difference here. Now in week two you would hope that the rust is shaken off, and with the Patriots offensive line in turmoil, he could be the difference in making Brady work or not in the pocket. I would say this one is Giants or pass, and would go with the Giants and the under.

Giants +7, Under 54.5