Parkers Picks Week 12

Light em up, up, up, light em up, up, up I'm on fireeee. Come on that song never got old right? (sarcasm) Either way after a terrible start we not only dug ourselves we are sitting 134-124-5 and if you have been following along we have hit some of our stronger plays. Week 12 looks fun, and I think the undefeateds are on the ropes this week.

Philadelphia Eagles +2 at Detroit Lions 46

This is one of those that I would just stay away from. The Eagles should win this game, they are more talented and need it more. However, the wheels are coming off in Chip land. The Lions are playing better and while I am taking the two here I am sure I will regret it.

Eagles +2, Under 46

Carolina Panthers +1 at Dallas Cowboys 45.5

The Panthers have no pressure here at all. Its Thanksgiving, they just smacked the Washington football team at home, and after a short week road game they have four division games with another road trip to New York sandiwched between the two. The Cowboys on the other hand just got their star QB back, and now head into week 2 as healthy as they ever have been. Boys should get this one.

Cowboys -1, Under 45.5

Chicago Bears +8 at Green Bay Packers 44.5

Another steer clear game. John Fox has the Bears playing better. That however does not change the fact that Jay Cutler has been at his by far worst when facing the Packers. You can argue a lot of times the Bears had the better team, and yet the Packers absolutely own the Bears. That said if it got around 10, I would like the Bears here, and will pick them for picking purposes, but it isn't the best investment.

Bears +8, Under 44.5

New Orleans Saints +3 at Houston Texans 47.5

Two teams that have had about five different seasons this year. I would steer clear of this one as well, and would look to the over. Brian Hoyer isn't electric, but he is effective against a Saints defense that blew everything up. Drew Brees is Drew Brees, and while everyone loves the Texans defesne with what looks like a revived JJ Watt, I think Brees, especially if he gets behind will be able to connect at times down field. The situation says Saints, so I will go for it, but again nothing great here.

Saints +3, Over 47.5

Minnesota Vikings +1 at Atlanta Falcons 45.5

The Vikings are just the better team here. The Falcons are sputtering, and logic says that it should come back this week, but this team is soft, and the Vikings are physical. The Vikings are also coming off a home loss in a game where they were essentially out physicaled. Give me the Vikings, and I think Peterson will run for more than expected, and this game may get enough to go over.

Vikings +1, Over 45.5

St. Louis Rams +9 at Cincinatti Bengals 42

There is a crazy stat in which Andy Dalton is now 25-4-1 as a starter against teams he hasnt faced in at least a year, and is 14-17 against teams in which he faces within a year time. In the same games he has disgustingly worse stats in his starts against common opponents. That said, he has not faced the Rams yet and they are just still not healthy yet. It is crazy to do it, but I am laying the points here and think that Dalton has a big game.

Bengals -9, Over 42

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 at Indianapolis Colts 46.5

The Bucs are hot, but the Colts are still alive with Matt Hasssleback. He actually isn't a bad quarterback when looking across this league in 2015. The Bucs are in a stretch of back to back road games, and while the Colts were on the road last week, I think that the Colts will get another one against the NFC South here. Winston is due for a couple turnovers and I could see it in this spot.

Colts -3, Under 46.5

New York Giants -3 at Washington 47

I do not get this one. The Giants almost beat the Patriots at home, and now have a bye I get that. Still, the Giants were three point favorites at home when these teams met in week 3. Washington is two weeks removed from hanging 47 on a team at home. There has not been a six point swing, people just like the Giants. This is a classic Eli multi turnover, Cousins with no pass rush making a couple deep passes and boom, Washington with the win and the over.

Washington +3, Over 47

Oakland Raiders -1.5 at Tennessee Titans 44

I really like this one too. I talked about how the Raiders playing their fourth game on the east coast may affect them last week. I think it did. I think playing the fifth game, in the a back to back scenario is going to be even worse. It is just too much travel, and with a team that is not experienced they have gone 1-3 ATS when playing on the eastern time slot. The Titans are due, and Mariota hasn't been bad. Kendall Wright may be back, but Titans and Under is the move here.

Titans +1.5, Under 44

Buffalo Bills +6.5 at Kansas City Chiefs 42

Personally, I think this line is way too high and am not buying this Chiefs hype. However, I am one to see a fishy line and sniffing it out you have to go Kansas City or pass. I think a lot has to do with Tyrod Taylors' shoulder. I think another bit has to do with the idea that Spenver Ware may get more touches for the Chiefs this week. I thought he was a spark of energy last week, and if the run game can dominate, and Buffalo has no Qb, I get it.

Chiefs -6.5, Under 42

Miami Dolphins +3.5 at New York Jets 42.5

The Dolphins are 8-4 since 2008 in divisional revenge games. The Jets destoryed the Dolphins in London causing them to fire their coach adding an even higher level of revenege to this Dolphins team. The Jets defense is banged up, and they haven't played well in about three weeks. I would look for the Dolphins to pull off an upset.

Dolphins +3.5, Over 42.5

San Dieago Chargers +3,5 at Jacksonville Jaguars 46.5

I am just stunned at how favorable this season has turned out for the Jaguars. Before going further I am not touching this game, but with a win against the Philbin led Dolphins, the EJ Manuel Bills, the Ravens in a game in which the NFL deemed they should have lost, and the Titans at home on a short week. The Chargers on the other hand have Phillip Rivers. That said, I can totally see the Jaguars role, because at 2-8 this Charger team is done. Why I like the Chargers here, is because neither team has a real home field advantage, so to say the Jags are that high on a neutral field just isn't right. If you told me anyone besides Rivers cared I would love SD, that aside I am on the sideline.

Chargers +3.5, Over 46.5

Arizona Cardinals -10 at San Fransisco 49ers 44.5

Last I checked the majority of the Cardinals front seven seems to just be getting the week off. With John Brown and Michael Floyd banged up the Cardinals should be looking to get healthy now. They kept the foot on the gas early, but why do it this late in what could be a tougher game than they realize. The 49ers defense shows up at home, and I can see a 20-14 game here in the Cardinals favor. Gulp, give me the 49ers.

49ers +10, Under 44.5

Pittsburgh Steelers +4 at Seattle Seahawks 46

Steelers and over all day here. The Seahawks holding Blaine Gabbert to 13 masked the fact that the defense mainly got torn up by the Cardinals the week before. The secondary, mainly everyone but Earl Thomas is having problems this year, and Martavis Bryant and Antonio Brown come in licking their chops. More than the Steelers I like the over because the Seahawks should be able to keep up, but the Steelers are the better team here.

Steelers +4, Over 46