Parkers Picks Week 13

Another strong week last week gets us to 149-137-5. When thinking most of the losses, especially last week were picks I asterisked with the stay away tag I would say that we are looking at a solid run here. With seemingly every team having major injury issues it will be interesting to see who will rise up in week 13.

San Francisco 49ers +7 at Chicago Bears 43

I feel as though I have had a good read on when this 49ers team will show up and it is typically at home. In a moral victory type of way there is a buzz around Blain Gabbert after a home cover. However, on the other side is Vic Fangio, who was a DC in SF and left the 49ers on bad terms last year. He was there in practice running his defense against the back up Gabbert and he knows the blitzes to cook up. Bears being a favorite for the first time all year gives me pause, but I would go Bears and Under here as the 49ers should not score much at all.

Bears -7. Under 43

Cincinnati Bengals -9 at Cleveland Browns 43

The stat about Andy Dalton and success against teams who have not played him in a year’s time has held up. With that said, Tyler Eifert is banged up and the Pittsburgh Steelers come to town next week in a much more important game. The Bengals have no reason to blow out the Browns, and the media has been destroying the Browns since Monday night. Bengals survive, but Browns get the cover.

Browns +9, Under 43

Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5 at Tennessee Titans 43.5

I have been upfront about my thoughts on Blake Bortles. I think he is struggling most of the time, especially mechanically, and I think that despite having better weapons, it took a major choke job for the Titans to blow a game on the road against this team. With the Jets, Pats, Texans and Colts on the schedule this is essentially a bet that this Titan team will not go 2-14 this year.

Titans -2.5, Under 43.5

Houston Texans +3 at Buffalo Bills 41.5

I don’t want to be that guy telling the story after the fact, but Sunday morning after my post in which I said I was on the sideline, but leaned to Saints, I ended up betting Houston. It obviously went well, and aside from bragging in this post I noticed the Texans are actually playing legitimate football. JJ Watt may have been injured before the bye, but his last three games have been the best three games of defensive football I have seen this year. The Bills on the other side are banged up on both sides of the football. Back to the Texan well, and back to Brian Hoyer for an over.

Texans +3, Over 41.5

Baltimore Ravens +3.5 at Miami Dolphins 42

So it takes the Ravens a blocked field goal to beat the Browns on a primetime stage. The Ravens now go for back-to-back road games on a short week with Matt Schaub whose career ended three years ago, and they are the popular under dog this week? Come on. The Dolphins are no good, sure, but we have seen them succeed, and we have seen them bounce back from a coach firing. The Browns close six point favorites last week and it just makes no sense why I would even look to Baltimore.

Dolphins -3.5, Over 42

Carolina Panthers -6.5 at New Orleans Saints 49.5

I will warn you now I am only going in when I get seven points. You can get the seven at some point I am sure and it seems crazy but I am going Saints. Tony Romo burned me last week, but I think the Panthers now with extra rest are looking more to the two matches left against the Falcons. It is mainly just a value play, and the Saints don’t deserve my money but here we go.

Saints +7, Under 49.5

Seattle Seahawks -2 at Minnesota Vikings 42

The only thing I would do here is tease the Vikings. The under is intriguing, but Russell Wilson has strung together a couple good games. That said this is the best matchup of the week. The Vikings are without Linvall Joseph, which I think is major, and it leans me to Seattle, but like I said teasing the Vikings over a touchdown is a better option.

Seattle -2, Under 42

Arizona Cardinals -5 at St. Louis Rams 43

If you want to back the Cardinals just remember that they were seven point favorites at home and lost out right to this team. That said this is a much different team. The Rams are banged up, but lets not act like the Cardinals are completely healthy. All said and done no real play, but hey give me the points.

Rams +5, Over 43

Atlanta Falcons +1 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 46

I want this post to be the first in which I say I am fully on the Jameis train. I think he is going to be special in the NFL. That said, Atlanta I don’t think Atlanta is just going to lose out. They are still in a playoff hunt, and Winston still has a weak offensive line and a weak secondary. The Falcons are in for revenge here and the rookie cannot sweep them so it is Falcons or pass for me.

Falcons +1, Over 46

New York Jets -2.5 at New York Giants 46.5

I don’t get this one. Sure the Jets are playing in their same stadium so it is basically a neutral field, but the Jets are 2.5 points better in that situation. No Darrelle Revis, no Antonio Cromartie and Eli Manning against Ryan Fitzpatrick. Think what you want I think this should be a PK, where it opened and I will gladly take any points.

Giants +2.5, Over 46.5

Kansas City -3 at Oakland Raiders 44

Here comes the next most curious line of the week. No Jamaal Charles, now no Justin Houston and people are lining up to lay points on the road? The Chiefs are playing good ball, sure, but most of the games have been lay ups. The Raiders playing for their season should create a contested three, and I don’t like Alex Smiths from deep.

Raiders +3,. Under 44

Philadelphia Eagles +9 at New England 49

I doubt I make the play but there is no way you take the Pats here. No Gronk, no Edleman, no Lewis, maybe Amendola? That said, if the Eagles quit a couple weeks ago why show up to face Tom Brady? Leaves me on the sideline but it is an Eagles or pass situation, if you think they have one good one left.

Eagles +9, Under 49